Saturday, March 7, 2026
61.3%doom
Red Alert, tier 7 of 10.
A week into a war that already has drones hitting Dubai Airport and Israeli troops massing on Lebanon's border, we now learn Russia has allegedly been handing Iran GPS coordinates of American forces — which is either an act of proxy war or the opening credits of something much worse. Meanwhile Iran's president is calling unconditional surrender 'a dream they should take to their grave,' oil is up 35% in a week (a futures record dating to 1983), and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The escalation ladder now has Russia on a rung nobody expected.
The story behind it: US believes Russia is providing Iran with locations of American troops, sources say.
38.7%dawn
Rays Breaking, tier 4 of 10.
Against a backdrop of war, economic contraction, and cascading crises, nature quietly delivers a counternarrative: koalas, once staring down genetic collapse after catastrophic population loss, are rebounding — and their DNA diversity is recovering with them. New genomic research shows that rapid population growth can actually help reverse the kind of inbreeding damage scientists feared might be permanent. It's a reminder that resilience isn't just a human trait, and that the natural world, given even half a chance, will fight to persist.
The story behind it: Koalas survived a devastating population crash and their DNA is bouncing back.
The days before
| Day | Doom | Dawn | Doom headline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Mar 6 | 64.0% | 36.0% | WAR REACHES THE SILICON SUPPLY CHAIN |
| Thu, Mar 5 | 61.1% | 38.9% | FIRST TORPEDO IN EIGHTY YEARS |
| Wed, Mar 4 | 62.4% | 37.6% | IRAN CALLS THIS THE OPENING MOVE |
| Tue, Mar 3 | 67.6% | 32.4% | AMERICANS DEAD. HORMUZ CLOSED. MARKETS SCREAMING. |
| Mon, Mar 2 | 67.8% | 32.2% | THE WAR JUST HIT A NATO ALLY'S DOORSTEP |
| Sun, Mar 1 | 77.1% | 22.9% | DAY TWO: MISSILES IN DUBAI, MARKETS IN FREEFALL |
| Sat, Feb 28 | 70.0% | 30.0% | OPERATION EPIC FURY IS VERY MUCH HAPPENING |
| Fri, Feb 27 | 39.4% | 60.6% | AI COMPANY TELLS WAR DEPARTMENT TO GO POUND SAND |
| Thu, Feb 26 | 37.7% | 62.3% | COUNTDOWN CLOCK ON IRAN DEAL, WARSHIPS CLOSING IN |
| Wed, Feb 25 | 37.5% | 62.5% | THE ROBOTS KEEP CHOOSING NUKES |
| Tue, Feb 24 | 37.2% | 62.8% | EVERYONE'S BUILDING BIGGER BUTTONS |
| Mon, Feb 23 | 36.9% | 63.1% | ZELENSKY DROPS THE WW3 WORD |
| Sun, Feb 22 | 34.3% | 65.7% | SOUTH ASIA OPENS A NEW FRONT |
| Sat, Feb 21 | 31.0% | 69.0% | SUPREME COURT NUKES THE TARIFF AGENDA |
How it works
Every morning a pipeline pulls a couple of hundred headlines from 16 news sources. Claude scores the day for doom three times without seeing past scores, takes the middle answer, and smooths it so a single loud headline can't swing the number on its own. Then it picks the day's best news for the dawn card, and each reading is painted as pixel art. Doom and dawn always add up to 100.
It's a thought experiment and a daily ritual, not a forecast.
pDoom on iPhone
The app has every reading since February, trend charts, and the factor breakdown behind each number. It's free.
Get pDoom free on iPhone