Wednesday, February 25, 2026
37.5%doom
Storm Brewing, tier 4 of 10.
Apparently OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google's finest minds all agree: in a simulated geopolitical crisis, nuke 'em. Ninety-five percent of the time. Meanwhile, Anthropic quietly dropped its flagship safety pledge this week, which means the company building the most trigger-happy war-game AI just stopped promising it wouldn't. Japan is also deploying missiles to an island 100km from Taiwan, US-Iran talks are circling the drain, and the State of the Union was mostly vibes — so the humans aren't exactly outperforming the robots on restraint.
The story behind it: AIs can't stop recommending nuclear strikes in war game simulations.
62.5%dawn
Golden Hour, tier 7 of 10.
In a year shadowed by nuclear posturing and regional conflicts, the American grid quietly crossed a historic threshold: solar energy has surpassed hydropower, after growing 35% in a single year. This isn't a incremental win — it represents decades of falling costs, policy momentum, and millions of installation decisions compounding into something genuinely transformative. Even as geopolitical skies darken, the energy transition is accelerating on its own terms, indifferent to the noise.
The story behind it: Following 35% growth, solar has passed hydro on US grid.
The days before
| Day | Doom | Dawn | Doom headline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Feb 24 | 37.2% | 62.8% | EVERYONE'S BUILDING BIGGER BUTTONS |
| Mon, Feb 23 | 36.9% | 63.1% | ZELENSKY DROPS THE WW3 WORD |
| Sun, Feb 22 | 34.3% | 65.7% | SOUTH ASIA OPENS A NEW FRONT |
| Sat, Feb 21 | 31.0% | 69.0% | SUPREME COURT NUKES THE TARIFF AGENDA |
| Fri, Feb 20 | 37.2% | 62.8% | TEN DAYS TO DECIDE THE FATE OF THE WORLD |
| Thu, Feb 19 | 36.3% | 63.7% | STRIKE COULD HAPPEN BY SATURDAY |
| Wed, Feb 18 | 35.3% | 64.7% | SYRIA PULLOUT AS IRAN DRUMS BEAT LOUDER |
| Tue, Feb 17 | 34.0% | 66.0% | CARRIER DIPLOMACY: TALKING SOFTLY, CARRYING BIG SHIPS |
| Mon, Feb 16 | 28.0% | 72.0% | NETANYAHU SETS IMPOSSIBLE TERMS AS IRAN TALKS LOOM |
| Sun, Feb 15 | 28.0% | 72.0% | KREMLIN DEPLOYS EXOTIC POISON, WEST CONDEMNS |
| Sat, Feb 14 | 34.0% | 66.0% | THE ALGORITHM DISCOVERS PHYSICS |
| Fri, Feb 13 | 34.0% | 66.0% | LARGEST CLIMATE ROLLBACK IN US HISTORY |
| Thu, Feb 12 | 28.0% | 72.0% | MOSCOW CUTS COMMS. AUTHORITARIAN PLAYBOOK TIGHTENS. |
| Wed, Feb 11 | 38.0% | 62.0% | BEIJING'S BOMBS: NORMS UNRAVELING |
How it works
Every morning a pipeline pulls a couple of hundred headlines from 16 news sources. Claude scores the day for doom three times without seeing past scores, takes the middle answer, and smooths it so a single loud headline can't swing the number on its own. Then it picks the day's best news for the dawn card, and each reading is painted as pixel art. Doom and dawn always add up to 100.
It's a thought experiment and a daily ritual, not a forecast.
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