Thursday, June 25, 2026
32.1%doom
Storm Brewing, tier 4 of 10.
Anthropic, the lab that built its entire brand on AI safety, is accusing Alibaba of using fraudulent accounts to steal Claude's capabilities — which is either corporate espionage or a masterclass in irony. Meanwhile, OpenAI just dropped its own custom inference chip called 'Jalapeño,' because apparently the AI arms race needed more spice. The geopolitical AI extraction story lands on a day when Iran is still playing games with Hormuz transit authorization and Venezuela is literally shaking apart, but it's the quiet theft of frontier model capabilities that keeps the long-game doomers up at night.
The story behind it: Anthropic accuses Chinese rival Alibaba of illicitly extracting AI capabilities.
67.9%dawn
Golden Hour, tier 7 of 10.
IBM has achieved what many physicists thought was physically impossible: chip transistors below one nanometer, packing 100 billion onto a fingernail-sized surface. On a day dominated by earthquake devastation and nuclear posturing, this quiet engineering triumph represents humanity at its most tenacious — pushing the frontier of what matter itself will allow. More efficient chips mean less energy consumed, faster medical diagnostics, and AI tools that cost less to run — a compounding gift that will outlast today's headlines.
The story behind it: IBM has built a new prototype chip with around 100 billion transistors on an area the size of a fingernail, which is twice the density of the company's previous state-of-the-art technology announced i
The days before
| Day | Doom | Dawn | Doom headline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Jun 24 | 34.0% | 66.0% | KIM WANTS NUKES AT SEA NOW TOO |
| Tue, Jun 23 | 30.8% | 69.2% | DEAL OR NO DEAL: TEHRAN PLAYS BOTH SIDES |
| Mon, Jun 22 | 32.8% | 67.2% | EBOLA CROSSES FOUR DIGITS. DISPLACEMENT DOES THE REST. |
| Sun, Jun 21 | 33.1% | 66.9% | WORLD'S MOST IMPORTANT CHOKEPOINT: OPEN? CLOSED? YES. |
| Sat, Jun 20 | 33.2% | 66.8% | BIRD FLU COMPLETES ITS WORLD TOUR |
| Fri, Jun 19 | 37.0% | 63.0% | LARGEST DRONE STRIKE YET. RUSSIA SAYS: YOUR TURN. |
| Thu, Jun 18 | 33.8% | 66.2% | NATO CONTRACTOR KEYS: FOUND IN THE WILD |
| Wed, Jun 17 | 35.7% | 64.3% | PEACE DEAL, WITH ASTERISK THE SIZE OF A BUNKER BUSTER |
| Tue, Jun 16 | 35.0% | 65.0% | GOVERNMENT VS. FRONTIER AI: ROUND TWO |
| Mon, Jun 15 | 35.4% | 64.6% | EBOLA SURGES. WORLD CUP ARRIVES. EXPERTS SAY 'FINE.' |
| Sun, Jun 14 | 39.5% | 60.5% | DEAL DAY. ALSO BOMBING DAY. |
| Sat, Jun 13 | 40.6% | 59.4% | GOVERNMENT PULLS THE PLUG ON THE AI |
| Fri, Jun 12 | 42.4% | 57.6% | CHATBOT SAYS 'MAYBE THIS IS JUST THE END.' IT WAS. |
| Thu, Jun 11 | 48.9% | 51.1% | DAY TWO. OIL SEIZED. STRAIT CLOSED. WORLD CUP UNDERWAY. |
How it works
Every morning a pipeline pulls a couple of hundred headlines from 16 news sources. Claude scores the day for doom three times without seeing past scores, takes the middle answer, and smooths it so a single loud headline can't swing the number on its own. Then it picks the day's best news for the dawn card, and each reading is painted as pixel art. Doom and dawn always add up to 100.
It's a thought experiment and a daily ritual, not a forecast.
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