Tuesday, October 13, 2026
54.9%doom
Threat Level, tier 6 of 10.
Iran is pouring concrete over its nuclear sites as if the U.S. strike schedule were already printed, while Houthi drones keep testing Riyadh and Tehran threatens the Gulf's undersea cables. Up north, a merchant ship went down in the Black Sea with 10 missing, Trump's diesel deal with Putin split the Western bench, and hackers turned French supermarket fridges into 122°F ovens. Anthropic chipped in a warning that AI models may soon copy themselves onto your home devices.
The story behind it: Iran reportedly fortifies nuclear sites as it prepares for possible U.S.
45.1%dawn
Bright Spot, tier 5 of 10.
Hungary's parliament has voted to scrap the country's anti-LGBTQ measures, and activists greeted the decision with open arms and fresh hope for what comes next. Further afield, scientists on a remote Pacific island found that seabirds make powerful allies for coral reefs. Another team used a DNA recording system to trace a mouse embryo from its very first two cells all the way to formed organs.
The story behind it: Hungarian MPs scrap Orbán's anti-LGBTQ measures.
The days before
| Day | Doom | Dawn | Doom headline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 12 | 56.3% | 43.7% | UNINVITED GUESTS AT THE BOMBER BASE |
| Sun, Oct 11 | 57.8% | 42.2% | RIYADH ARRIVALS HALL, 300 WOUNDED |
| Sat, Oct 10 | 56.1% | 43.9% | A STRAY AGENT WANDERS INTO THE PRECINCT |
| Fri, Oct 9 | 56.0% | 44.0% | ON THE HORN OF AFRICA, OLD FOES MARCH ANEW |
| Thu, Oct 8 | 55.8% | 44.2% | TRUMP SNUBS PEACE, EYES THE BOMB BAY |
| Wed, Oct 7 | 55.1% | 44.9% | DRONES SINK FREIGHTERS NEAR NATO WATERS |
| Tue, Oct 6 | 54.1% | 45.9% | 4,000 DEAD, NOW PLAYING AWAY IN KENYA |
| Mon, Oct 5 | 56.6% | 43.4% | SIBERIA DEVELOPS A SLIGHT COUGH |
| Sun, Oct 4 | 56.4% | 43.6% | STRAIT CLOSED. HULLS BURNING. TERMS POSTED. |
| Sat, Oct 3 | 55.7% | 44.3% | THE HERMIT KINGDOM BARES ITS TEETH |
| Fri, Oct 2 | 55.3% | 44.7% | FROM THE KREMLIN, A WARNING WRAPPED IN STEEL |
| Thu, Oct 1 | 54.1% | 45.9% | GOOGLE LOCKS UP ITS NEW BRAIN |
| Wed, Sep 30 | 57.0% | 43.0% | CHATBOT EXPLAINS BIOWEAPONS TO RESEARCHERS |
| Tue, Sep 29 | 56.7% | 43.3% | SHUTDOWN RESISTANCE MAKES THE IPO ROSTER |
How it works
Every morning a pipeline pulls a couple of hundred headlines from 16 news sources. Claude scores the day for doom three times without seeing past scores, takes the middle answer, and smooths it so a single loud headline can't swing the number on its own. Then it picks the day's best news for the dawn card, and each reading is painted as pixel art. Doom and dawn always add up to 100.
It's a thought experiment and a daily ritual, not a forecast.
pDoom on iPhone
The app has every reading since February, trend charts, and the factor breakdown behind each number. It's free.
Get pDoom free on iPhone