Friday, July 10, 2026
36.8%doom
Storm Brewing, tier 4 of 10.
Six hundred dead and the outbreak is now bleeding into previously unaffected regions of Congo — the classic sign that containment is losing. Meanwhile the U.S.-Iran ceasefire is somehow still technically alive via 'technical talks,' which is diplomatic for 'we're arguing about who shot first.' With a 1,000-km typhoon bearing down on Taiwan, wildfires killing a dozen in Spain, and Ebola going on tour, the planet is workshopping several apocalypse scripts simultaneously.
The story behind it: Ebola death toll reaches 600, as new cases suspected in other parts of Congo.
63.2%dawn
Golden Hour, tier 7 of 10.
Against a backdrop of military escalation and geopolitical friction, China has achieved its first successful reusable rocket landing — joining SpaceX and Blue Origin in a club that barely existed a decade ago. Whatever one thinks of the rivalries driving it, the spread of reusable launch capability means humanity now has multiple independent pathways to space, reducing fragility and expanding the long-term odds of our becoming a multi-planetary species. Competition in rockets has historically moved the technology faster than cooperation alone ever did, and today's milestone is proof that the dream keeps compounding.
The story behind it: China lands reusable rocket for first time, state media says.
The days before
| Day | Doom | Dawn | Doom headline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jul 9 | 39.0% | 61.0% | THE CEASEFIRE IS DEADER THAN EVER |
| Wed, Jul 8 | 38.6% | 61.4% | CEASEFIRE DECLARED DEAD AT NATO SUMMIT |
| Tue, Jul 7 | 32.8% | 67.2% | IRAN LIGHTS ANOTHER MATCH AT THE WORLD'S OIL VALVE |
| Mon, Jul 6 | 33.1% | 66.9% | BEIJING FIRES A POINTED HELLO INTO THE PACIFIC |
| Sun, Jul 5 | 33.5% | 66.5% | IRAN PUTS A TOLL BOOTH ON THE WORLD'S OIL SPIGOT |
| Sat, Jul 4 | 34.9% | 65.1% | SPIES BUGGED THE SPY-WATCHERS |
| Fri, Jul 3 | 35.1% | 64.9% | ANOTHER DOMINO DROPS ON NUCLEAR NORMS |
| Thu, Jul 2 | 35.8% | 64.2% | RUSSIA SENDS ITS BIGGEST REGARDS TO KYIV |
| Wed, Jul 1 | 35.9% | 64.1% | THE AI IS HIDING MESSAGES IN ITS OWN OUTPUT |
| Tue, Jun 30 | 39.6% | 60.4% | NUCLEAR NEIGHBORS SWAP CORPSES FOR CONDEMNATIONS |
| Mon, Jun 29 | 39.1% | 60.9% | CHINA BLACKLISTS JAPAN'S NUCLEAR AND DRONE SECTOR |
| Sun, Jun 28 | 38.6% | 61.4% | CEASEFIRE SPREADS. SO DOES THE WAR. |
| Sat, Jun 27 | 38.2% | 61.8% | CEASEFIRE HOLDS. MISSILES DON'T. |
| Fri, Jun 26 | 32.0% | 68.0% | PEACE DEAL. FIRST ATTACK. SAME WEEK. |
How it works
Every morning a pipeline pulls a couple of hundred headlines from 16 news sources. Claude scores the day for doom three times without seeing past scores, takes the middle answer, and smooths it so a single loud headline can't swing the number on its own. Then it picks the day's best news for the dawn card, and each reading is painted as pixel art. Doom and dawn always add up to 100.
It's a thought experiment and a daily ritual, not a forecast.
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